Wednesday, October 3, 2012
Poll, Poll, Political Me
The GOP-leaning Rasmussen continues to place Obama in front in today's daily tracker, now up a point to plus-2%.
New NBC/Wall St. Journal poll finds race tightening in Virginia and Florida--but getting wider in Ohio, raising key decision for Romney: Pull out of Ohio and concentrate elsewhere? If so, what is road to victory?
Tuesday UPDATE NBC releases more poll numbers. Obama approval at 49%, deemed "electable." Leads Romney 49%-46%. Romney has gained a bit only due to voters being more "likely" to vote. Negatives for Obama on Libya but highest numbers in long time saying economy recovering.
Earlier: Tonight's NBC/Wall St Journal Poll, just being released in dribs and drabs, confirms a key finding from Gallup that I commented on last week: for the first time in many years, going back to the 1980s, voters seem to want "one party" control in Washington. Until now, they invariably have said that they actually prefer a split--as if they don't trust one party to really work its magic. They want a check or a veto on the other side--or perhaps they imagine this means "bipartisan" progress.
But first Gallup, and now the new poll, find that's over, and by a wide margin they'd prefer one party in control. One presumes the GOPers see it as their party calling the shots, and the Dems want it for their side. But I'd guess, given Obama's position in the polls right now, that this might mean more on the fence voting for House and Senate candidates who might put the Dems on the hook to really get something done in the next two years.