Michele Bachmann has a serious Dem challenger this year, which in many quarters has drawn the response, oh, that's nice, it will really bug her but of course she will win. But hold on:
a new poll for Salon finds her leading by just 2% now, after other polls showed a gap that was not that much wider. One key: in previous races a 3rd party challenger usually hurt the Democrat. "Overall, the poll shows Bachmann leading Graves 48 – 46 percent, within the margin of error. The race has moved significantly among independents, with a 20-point net shift toward Graves, from a 41 – 45 percent disadvantage in June to a 52 – 37 percent lead now. Among independents, Bachmann’s favorability rating has slipped 4 points while her unfavorability rating has jumped 7 points. Overall, she’s viewed mostly negatively."
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