Thursday, August 2, 2012
Obama At High Point?
You'd never know it from much of the media coverage, which insists the race is "tied," but our man Nate Silver has just re-figured the latest three key polls and proclaims Obama in his best position yet, at least in the Electoral College. "The forecast model now gives Mr. Obama a 70.8 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, up from 69.0 percent on Monday and from 65.0 percent last Tuesday. Three of the polls were conducted by Quinnipiac University in conjunction with The New York Times and CBS News. The polls gave Mr. Obama leads of 6 points in each of Ohio and Florida, and an 11-point lead in Pennsylvania."