Thursday, August 2, 2012
Pew Survey Gives Obama 10-Point Lead, But...
Pew late today announced new poll giving Obama a shocking 51-41 lead, but Nate Silver at NYT is throwing some cold water on it. He says Pew results have been outliers, with Obama averaging a 7% lead this year, partly because they only poll registered voters without factoring in the "likely" factor. Gallup, at the same time, has been "Romney-leaning." Earlier today, Nate gave Obama a 70% chance of winning, his highest number yet.
is author of a dozen books (click on covers at right), including the new "THE TUNNELS: Escapes Under the Berlin Wall and the Historic Films the JFK White House Tried to Kill." He was the longtime editor of Editor & Publisher. Email: email@example.com. Twitter: @GregMitch