NBC/WSJ poll just leaking out (full results at 6:30 pm) shows that the Ryan pick is, at best, a wash. In fact, 23% in new poll said now less likely to vote for Romney vs. 22% more likely. WSJ piece uses phrase: "has not moved the needle." The survey "also shows a close split on Mr. Ryan’s favorability ratings, with 33% of registered voters saying they have a very positive or somewhat positive view of the congressman and 32% describing their feelings as somewhat negative or very negative."
UPDATE: More results released by NBC just now, see full poll. Obama overall up 48%-44%, down from a 6% lead. Romney also cut lead in 12 swing states from 8% to 3%. But a big one: 50% approve Obama's stance on Medicare vs. 34% for Romney. Gender gap: Obama up among women 51% to 41%. Also leads among Latinos by 2-1. Romney leads with seniors 49%-41%.
Recent news has made 32% feel "more positive" about Romney and 44% less positive. Also more think Romney out of "mainstream" than Obama. Full results at 6:30 pm ET.